Global Mining Investing $69.95, 2 Volume e-Book Set. Buy here.
Author, Andrew Sheldon

Global Mining Investing is a reference eBook to teach investors how to think and act as investors with a underlying theme of managing risk. The book touches on a huge amount of content which heavily relies on knowledge that can only be obtained through experience...The text was engaging, as I knew the valuable outcome was to be a better thinker and investor.

While some books (such as Coulson’s An Insider’s Guide to the Mining Sector) focus on one particular commodity this book (Global Mining Investing) attempts (and does well) to cover all types of mining and commodities.

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Thursday, January 31, 2008

Dow Jones set to rally to 13,000pts

The Dow Jones is set to rally to major resistance at 13,000 pts, though I dont find that point very secure footing, and I think it will close the day back at 12,850 pts. The fall to 11,650 pts was rapid, and after some trepidation, I think the rise will be technical trading more than fundamentals, so the move should be completed by the end of next week. In the medium term I see just more consolidation for the next few months.
The upside is presented by corporate reporting suggesting that the market remains resilient. The reality though is that asset prices are falling and costs are rising. Not a recipe for earnings growth. The Fed cut might give people confidence in the short term, but its not going to revive the market for very long. But inflationary pressures will take time to materialise, so I see consolidation in the near-term. The threat of a financial failure remains, likely associated with 'netting out of derivatives contracts'. This was the practice of rogue trader Jérôme Kerviel and I would suggest that the 'options incentive' that permeates dealing desks also extends to senior management. For this reason, in an environment where the 'players are rewarded on the upside' but not penalised on the downside, you are going to see CEOs retiring on their payouts and traders retiring. Who will be holding the broken eggs? Dismayed investors. There is a good chance of financial failures. So where is that likely to take the market? Well certainly back to 11,650 pts. The next support is 10,000 pts. I dont see any evidence for that size drop yet, but there remains a big risk hanging over the market. I suspect there will be 'regulated disclosure' though this period. But that I mean the Fed and other central banks will be in discussions with financial institutions to determine the state of the market. Will there be any surprises?
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Andrew Sheldon www.sheldonthinks.com
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Investment Strategy

If you are investing for the long term, you still need an investment strategy. Dont be fooled by the rhetoric of fund managers. The reason they advise you to 'buy & hold' is because they dont want to compete with you in sell-offs. Markets and industrial sectors are cyclical, so they demand trading to get the best returns. Fund managers actually cant hope to match the performance of small investors (if you are half good) because they have to manage huge amounts of funds and charge you a fee besides.
MY ADVICE is (i) look at a range of market indices and decide upon what level of correction would give you the justification you need to get in & out of the market. It might be a 5-10% retracement or a break of trend. (ii) Diversify if you dont have an intimate knowledge of the company or management. More than 30% in one company is aggressive.

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The NZ property market is shaping up as one of the most attractive property investment markets for the next few years. High yielding property and the collapse of the NZD make NZ the perfect counter-cyclical investment if you buy right! In addition, there is no capital gains tax, transfer taxes, VAT/GST or wealth taxes in NZ, so rest assured that NZ property is tax-effective! Learn more now!

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