Global Mining Investing $69.95, 2 Volume e-Book Set. Buy here.
Author, Andrew Sheldon

Global Mining Investing is a reference eBook to teach investors how to think and act as investors with a underlying theme of managing risk. The book touches on a huge amount of content which heavily relies on knowledge that can only be obtained through experience...The text was engaging, as I knew the valuable outcome was to be a better thinker and investor.

While some books (such as Coulson’s An Insider’s Guide to the Mining Sector) focus on one particular commodity this book (Global Mining Investing) attempts (and does well) to cover all types of mining and commodities.

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Sunday, February 05, 2012

The US market potentially set for recovery

I've been taking time off to focus on writing books lately, and develop new websites, mostly of a political nature. Seeing that the US has managed to create 230,000 jobs in the last money, and get its unemployment rate down to 8.3%, I am wondering if this is pre-election stimulus, or real jobs. Perhaps someone could look at the job numbers and tell me whether these jobs are bureaucrats or factory workers. If indeed these are factory workers, then we are likely to be seeing a global recovery. Back in 2008, I fully expected this recession to last 4-5 years. So we are in the 4th year, and the market tends to look 12-18 months ahead, so we might thus expect this market to bubble ahead; at least for another 15 years until India and China have fully absorbed their labour surpluses. This is of course the reason why inflation is under control.
I based my 4-5year recession outlook on the basis of a log-linear curve of the Dow Jones. I should reproduce it, so we can see where we sit. Really, its an arbitrary measure because there is no reason why governments cannot pre-empt such trends with stimulus...if only temporary.

So recognising this outlook, we are inclined at this point to get excited. Well, this is why I ask if these are real jobs. Please tell me, as I'm too business etching out a philosophical treatise for the time when society wants to discard representative democracy. I want to avoid some cheap form of populism. You will undoubtedly be rich, and you will be looking around for concrete measures to protect your assets, and you will undoubtedly be snubbing intellectuals like me; retorting "What good are ideas in a crisis!". I will of course respond "A great deal of good if you listen a decade earlier".
So back to the 'boom'. Is it real or not? Maybe I should just look to my trusty log-linear chart. I might have to make it a priority. I used to be so much more focused on such data.
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Andrew Sheldon www.sheldonthinks.com
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Investment Strategy

If you are investing for the long term, you still need an investment strategy. Dont be fooled by the rhetoric of fund managers. The reason they advise you to 'buy & hold' is because they dont want to compete with you in sell-offs. Markets and industrial sectors are cyclical, so they demand trading to get the best returns. Fund managers actually cant hope to match the performance of small investors (if you are half good) because they have to manage huge amounts of funds and charge you a fee besides.
MY ADVICE is (i) look at a range of market indices and decide upon what level of correction would give you the justification you need to get in & out of the market. It might be a 5-10% retracement or a break of trend. (ii) Diversify if you dont have an intimate knowledge of the company or management. More than 30% in one company is aggressive.

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The NZ property market is shaping up as one of the most attractive property investment markets for the next few years. High yielding property and the collapse of the NZD make NZ the perfect counter-cyclical investment if you buy right! In addition, there is no capital gains tax, transfer taxes, VAT/GST or wealth taxes in NZ, so rest assured that NZ property is tax-effective! Learn more now!

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