Global Mining Investing $69.95, 2 Volume e-Book Set. Buy here.
Author, Andrew Sheldon

Global Mining Investing is a reference eBook to teach investors how to think and act as investors with a underlying theme of managing risk. The book touches on a huge amount of content which heavily relies on knowledge that can only be obtained through experience...The text was engaging, as I knew the valuable outcome was to be a better thinker and investor.

While some books (such as Coulson’s An Insider’s Guide to the Mining Sector) focus on one particular commodity this book (Global Mining Investing) attempts (and does well) to cover all types of mining and commodities.

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Saturday, April 07, 2012

Summary: Market Outlook 2012-2014

The outlook is for higher food and energy commodity prices, strong NZD, a two-speed economy, with high oil prices, the strong NZD going to undermine economic activity. There is going to be an attack on North Korea and Iran within a year; however they will be short-lived occurrences, but they will hit market confidence, so sell your shares. The high oil prices is what will impact consumer confidence most.
The US and other central banks will then look to offer stimulus, so you can expect a recovery in 2014. Give it a year to turn around, so we are 2 years away still from the resumption of the China 'bull market' story. Clearly the time to get back into equities is a few months after those missile attacks on North Korean and Iranian facilities. In neither case do I expect ground troops.
I think gold prices will certainly do better in this period of 'uncertainty', however not as well as you would expect because there will be broad-based selling pressure. I do however not write-off gold; I think gold will hold up until that stimulus comes through, but expect gold to be sold off thereafter...such that I'd not be surprised to see it under $1000/oz by 2016, so forget about the gold explorers. But in late 2013, we might expect those base metal stocks, including explorers, to look really good, as well as rare earth stocks like Alkane Exploration. Too early now though. Its always best to go for those exotic elements in these times; as they are relatively under-priced. i.e. Vital Metals might have advanced its wolframite (tungsten) project by this time. China produces 80% of the world's tungsten, and this company has the Japanese government as a partner. This is because the Japanese government invests where security of supply constraints are posed. Another appealing exotic company is South Australian based Archer Exploration....not yet though. Wait for the military strikes.
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Andrew Sheldon www.sheldonthinks.com

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Investment Strategy

If you are investing for the long term, you still need an investment strategy. Dont be fooled by the rhetoric of fund managers. The reason they advise you to 'buy & hold' is because they dont want to compete with you in sell-offs. Markets and industrial sectors are cyclical, so they demand trading to get the best returns. Fund managers actually cant hope to match the performance of small investors (if you are half good) because they have to manage huge amounts of funds and charge you a fee besides.
MY ADVICE is (i) look at a range of market indices and decide upon what level of correction would give you the justification you need to get in & out of the market. It might be a 5-10% retracement or a break of trend. (ii) Diversify if you dont have an intimate knowledge of the company or management. More than 30% in one company is aggressive.

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The NZ property market is shaping up as one of the most attractive property investment markets for the next few years. High yielding property and the collapse of the NZD make NZ the perfect counter-cyclical investment if you buy right! In addition, there is no capital gains tax, transfer taxes, VAT/GST or wealth taxes in NZ, so rest assured that NZ property is tax-effective! Learn more now!

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